Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001411 0.001502 0.001596 0.001700 0.001812 0.001930 0.002062
2024-10-20 0.001261 0.001383 0.001514 0.001664 0.001832 0.002015 0.002230
2024-10-27 0.001168 0.001313 0.001471 0.001658 0.001875 0.002118 0.002413
2024-11-03 0.001065 0.001219 0.001393 0.001603 0.001852 0.002138 0.002496
2024-11-10 0.001018 0.001186 0.001378 0.001617 0.001906 0.002247 0.002684
2024-11-17 0.000963 0.001138 0.001343 0.001601 0.001921 0.002307 0.002812
2024-11-24 0.000930 0.001115 0.001334 0.001616 0.001971 0.002409 0.002995
2024-12-01 0.000880 0.001068 0.001293 0.001587 0.001965 0.002438 0.003084
2024-12-08 0.000842 0.001032 0.001265 0.001573 0.001974 0.002486 0.003197
2024-12-15 0.000809 0.001002 0.001241 0.001562 0.001986 0.002536 0.003314
2024-12-22 0.000783 0.000980 0.001226 0.001561 0.002011 0.002602 0.003455
2024-12-29 0.000754 0.000952 0.001202 0.001547 0.002016 0.002642 0.003560
2025-01-05 0.000728 0.000929 0.001187 0.001547 0.002045 0.002721 0.003732
2025-01-12 0.000692 0.000891 0.001150 0.001516 0.002030 0.002738 0.003815
2025-01-19 0.000668 0.000869 0.001133 0.001512 0.002050 0.002805 0.003976
2025-01-26 0.000630 0.000826 0.001086 0.001462 0.002004 0.002775 0.003988
2025-02-02 0.000616 0.000815 0.001083 0.001475 0.002048 0.002876 0.004203
2025-02-09 0.000594 0.000793 0.001062 0.001461 0.002052 0.002918 0.004329
2025-02-16 0.000583 0.000784 0.001060 0.001474 0.002096 0.003020 0.004555
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.000758 0.001033 0.001449 0.002080 0.003032 0.004634
2025-03-02 0.000541 0.000739 0.001014 0.001436 0.002082 0.003070 0.004759
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000722 0.000998 0.001426 0.002089 0.003115 0.004895
2025-03-16 0.000513 0.000710 0.000989 0.001425 0.002110 0.003182 0.005073